Heracles vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
51.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
VOL
3 - 1
HER
49%
23%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
24%
20%
56%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
VVD
5 - 2
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
FEY
1 - 1
HER
84%
10%
6%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
HER
2 - 2
GRO
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
PSV
1 - 0
FEY
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1964 |
ZUR
3 - 1
PSV
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1964 |
PSV
1 - 0
ZUR
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
GRO
3 - 1
PSV
34%
25%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
PSV
0 - 2
DWS
75%
14%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |