Heracles vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 2
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
HER
3 - 2
MVV
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1964 |
ADO
2 - 2
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
HER
0 - 3
NAC
42%
23%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
GAE
1 - 2
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
VVD
1 - 1
NAC
45%
23%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPA
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 3
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
HER
0 - 3
NAC
42%
23%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
NAC
3 - 1
FEY
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |