Heracles vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
EXC
3 - 0
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
HER
0 - 0
SPA
43%
25%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
TWE
0 - 3
HER
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
HER
1 - 8
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
FOR
1 - 0
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
MVV
3 - 1
VVV
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
GRO
3 - 1
MVV
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
MVV
0 - 6
PSV
14%
24%
62%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
AZA
2 - 1
MVV
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
NEC
1 - 1
MVV
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |