Heracles vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
AJA
1 - 0
HER
79%
14%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
HER
2 - 2
ELI
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
FEY
5 - 2
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1966 |
HER
0 - 0
GAE
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
HER
2 - 0
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
MVV
1 - 0
GAE
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
TEL
3 - 1
MVV
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
MVV
1 - 1
PSV
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
VVD
2 - 2
MVV
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
AJA
1 - 1
MVV
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |