Heracles vs Koninklijke HFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
HER
19%
22%
59%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AZA
3 - 1
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
VIT
31%
24%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Koninklijke HFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
HSC
4 - 0
KON
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
KON
4 - 0
JVC
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OJC
1 - 0
KON
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
KON
1 - 3
USV
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
KON
3 - 2
EIN
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |