Heracles vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
HFC
2 - 2
HER
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
HER
3 - 0
VOL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
GRO
1 - 0
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1999 |
HER
1 - 0
GAE
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
HEL
0 - 3
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
TEL
1 - 0
HEL
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
HEL
0 - 0
FCO
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
VVV
0 - 4
HEL
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
HEL
12 - 1
BEQ
80%
13%
8%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |