Heracles vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
HER
1 - 0
EIN
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
HER
4 - 2
TEL
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
FCD
1 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
VVV
1 - 1
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
HER
1 - 2
BOS
43%
25%
31%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
HEL
1 - 1
FCO
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
HEL
2 - 2
EXC
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
EIN
4 - 0
HEL
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
TEL
1 - 2
HEL
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
HEL
6 - 3
ADO
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |