Heracles vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HER
3 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ZWO
0 - 3
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HER
3 - 3
ADO
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 4
HER
15%
19%
65%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
GRO
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 3
SCH
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 0
NAC
69%
18%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
KOZ
0 - 4
SCH
8%
15%
77%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |