Heracles vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 0
HER
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
VOL
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 3
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
AZA
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 0
SCH
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SCH
5 - 1
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRO
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
NEC
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 3
SCH
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |