Heracles vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
HER
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
HER
0 - 2
NEC
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VVV
0 - 5
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
HER
2 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 0
HER
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
PSV
1 - 1
SCH
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
SCH
7 - 0
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 3
SCH
34%
25%
40%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
SCH
5 - 1
VVV
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SCH
4 - 0
AZA
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |