Heracles vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
HER
0 - 4
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
RBC
1 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
HER
0 - 2
AZA
25%
23%
53%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 2
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
3 - 0
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 3
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
RBC
0 - 2
SCH
16%
25%
59%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
SPA
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 0
SCH
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |