Heracles vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
BVO
1 - 1
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
HER
1 - 2
FCD
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
GAE
3 - 1
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
HER
4 - 1
VVV
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
VOL
6 - 1
HER
60%
21%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
HFC
0 - 0
MVV
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
TEL
0 - 1
HFC
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
HFC
0 - 2
EIN
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
EXC
5 - 0
HFC
79%
13%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
FCO
0 - 4
HFC
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |