Heracles vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
RBC
2 - 2
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
HER
1 - 3
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2000 |
HEL
1 - 1
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
HER
2 - 0
HFC
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
VOL
1 - 0
HER
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
HFC
2 - 4
GRO
27%
27%
47%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
GAE
1 - 1
HFC
64%
19%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2000 |
HFC
2 - 4
FCE
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
HFC
1 - 1
ADO
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
HER
2 - 0
HFC
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |