Heracles vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
VOL
1 - 0
HER
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2000 |
HER
1 - 0
GRO
24%
26%
49%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
GAE
3 - 1
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
HER
2 - 0
FCE
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
FCD
0 - 0
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
HFC
0 - 1
NAC
29%
25%
47%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
TEL
1 - 2
HFC
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
HFC
4 - 1
FCO
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
VVV
2 - 2
HFC
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
BVV
2 - 3
HFC
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |