Heracles vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
7 - 0
HER
94%
4%
2%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 2
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
HER
2 - 5
FEY
13%
17%
70%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
GAE
2 - 2
HER
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
RJC
4 - 1
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
HFC
6 - 3
VVV
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
GRO
3 - 0
HFC
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
HFC
0 - 2
PSV
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
HFC
2 - 3
AZA
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
MVV
0 - 2
HFC
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |