Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
HER
4 - 1
FCD
71%
17%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 3
HER
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
HER
3 - 0
APE
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
TEL
2 - 2
HER
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
BVV
0 - 1
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
GAE
3 - 0
HEL
40%
24%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
GAE
1 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
APE
4 - 0
GAE
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
GAE
1 - 2
TEL
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
BVV
1 - 1
GAE
37%
23%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |