Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
VVV
1 - 2
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
HER
3 - 2
VOL
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
HER
2 - 1
HEL
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2002 |
MVV
2 - 3
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
HER
3 - 5
TEL
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
GAE
1 - 2
MVV
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
TEL
1 - 0
GAE
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
GAE
3 - 1
EIN
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
GAE
0 - 1
ZWO
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |