Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
FCE
3 - 1
HER
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1999 |
HER
1 - 1
FCD
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
HER
4 - 3
NAC
37%
26%
38%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
TEL
0 - 2
HER
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
GAE
2 - 1
BAR
84%
10%
6%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
GAE
2 - 3
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
TEL
0 - 3
GAE
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
GAE
2 - 2
FCO
69%
18%
12%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
VVV
2 - 0
GAE
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |