Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
16º
14º
38
5º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
EXC
4 - 0
HER
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HER
0 - 5
RKC
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZWO
3 - 1
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 2
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
PSV
17%
20%
64%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
GAE
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 2
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
FEY
18%
21%
61%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 0
FOR
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |