Heracles vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1966 |
DWS
4 - 1
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
HER
3 - 1
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
VVD
3 - 2
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
GAE
2 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
HER
1 - 1
TEL
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1966 |
FOR
0 - 4
GAE
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
TEL
3 - 0
FOR
39%
25%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 1
PSV
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
MVV
5 - 0
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 1
AJA
28%
23%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |