Heracles vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
FEY
5 - 0
HER
85%
9%
5%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
HER
1 - 4
PSV
32%
22%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
NAC
0 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
33%
21%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 6
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
VVD
0 - 3
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
FOR
0 - 0
MVV
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
DWS
0 - 2
FOR
64%
19%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |