Heracles vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
DWS
2 - 1
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
HER
3 - 6
FEY
28%
22%
50%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 2
HER
56%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1963 |
HER
2 - 2
PSV
31%
22%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1963 |
WIL
1 - 0
HER
58%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
FOR
2 - 1
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
AJA
6 - 3
FOR
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 2
HER
56%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1963 |
FEY
2 - 1
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1963 |
PSV
1 - 0
FOR
73%
16%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |