Heracles vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
RBC
1 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
HER
0 - 2
AZA
25%
23%
53%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 2
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
HER
3 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
FEY
0 - 0
RJC
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
FEY
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
FEY
6 - 1
WIL
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
FEY
2 - 0
AZA
66%
18%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
RJC
1 - 0
FEY
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |