Heracles vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
53.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
HER
1 - 3
FOR
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
DWS
2 - 1
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
HER
3 - 6
FEY
28%
22%
50%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 2
HER
56%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
FEY
4 - 2
VVD
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
FEY
0 - 1
DWS
78%
13%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
GRO
3 - 0
FEY
29%
25%
47%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
HER
3 - 6
FEY
28%
22%
50%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
FEY
0 - 2
SPA
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |