Heracles vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FCD
2 - 3
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 4
SCH
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ADO
1 - 3
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
VIT
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 1
ZWO
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 1
ZWO
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 0
ZWO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -2 |