Heracles vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1999 |
ADO
2 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
BVV
3 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1999 |
EIN
1 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
HER
2 - 0
VOL
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
FCO
0 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
GAE
2 - 3
ZWO
46%
24%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
ZWO
1 - 1
FCE
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1999 |
ZWO
4 - 3
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ZWO
0 - 0
HFC
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
RBC
3 - 1
ZWO
26%
26%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |