Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 4
HER
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 2
ADO
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 1
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VVV
3 - 1
HER
21%
24%
56%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 1
GRO
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FEY
1 - 1
UTR
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 0
NEC
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
UTR
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 0
AZA
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |