Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
HER
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
HER
4 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FEY
5 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
SCH
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 2
FEY
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
6 - 1
UTR
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 1
SCH
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 1
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |