Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FEY
0 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
HER
3 - 0
TWE
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
HER
4 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
UTR
5 - 0
RKC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
UTR
2 - 2
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
UTR
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 3
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |