Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
HER
0 - 1
RJC
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
FEY
7 - 1
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
HER
3 - 0
RBC
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
AZA
2 - 2
HER
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 1
UTR
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 1
UTR
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |