Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
FEY
5 - 1
HER
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
HER
1 - 0
GAE
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
HER
2 - 2
ADO
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +6 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
HER
1 - 1
FOR
47%
24%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
DWS
4 - 1
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
UTR
2 - 0
VVV
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
GRO
0 - 0
UTR
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
UTR
2 - 0
GAE
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1985 |
BOS
2 - 2
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
UTR
2 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |