Heracles vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
BOS
4 - 0
HER
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
HER
2 - 2
HFC
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
7 - 0
HER
94%
4%
2%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 2
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
HER
2 - 5
FEY
13%
17%
70%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
TWE
4 - 1
MVV
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 0
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 2
TWE
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
TWE
2 - 2
SPA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |