Heracles vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
WIL
1 - 0
HER
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
ADO
2 - 2
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 0
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
HER
0 - 1
DWS
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
TWE
3 - 1
GAE
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
TEL
1 - 0
TWE
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
PSV
2 - 2
TWE
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
FEY
4 - 0
TWE
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
TWE
0 - 0
MVV
68%
16%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |