Heracles vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
ADO
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
FEY
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 2
GRO
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 0
RJC
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FEY
1 - 1
GRO
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |