Heracles vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
ADO
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 6
HER
22%
23%
56%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
54%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ADO
2 - 4
GRO
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 1
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRO
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |