Heracles vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ADO
1 - 2
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
PSV
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
DCG
0 - 3
HER
6%
14%
80%
|
73 | 8 | 65 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
HER
2 - 2
BVV
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2005 |
SPA
0 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
RKC
2 - 1
GRO
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
RBC
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
TER
0 - 1
GRO
14%
19%
68%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 2
SCH
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |