Heracles vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
GAE
3 - 1
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
HER
2 - 0
FCE
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
FCD
0 - 0
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 0
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
HER
2 - 1
TEL
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
GRO
3 - 2
NAC
55%
22%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
TEL
0 - 2
GRO
26%
27%
48%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
GRO
5 - 1
FCO
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
VVV
1 - 0
GRO
27%
27%
47%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2000 |
ADO
2 - 1
GRO
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |