Heracles vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
PSV
5 - 0
HER
89%
8%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
HER
0 - 3
FOR
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
AZA
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
MVV
1 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
GRO
3 - 4
VVV
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
GRO
5 - 1
TWE
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRO
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |