Heracles vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
UTR
32%
23%
45%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 0
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
ADO
51%
23%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
HER
83%
12%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HER
6 - 1
VVV
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
PSV
0 - 1
FCD
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
FCD
2 - 4
BVO
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
BOS
3 - 2
FCD
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
FCD
2 - 3
TEL
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
FCD
1 - 1
RJC
26%
25%
50%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |