Heracles vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 3
HER
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
HER
3 - 0
APE
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
TEL
2 - 2
HER
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
BVV
0 - 1
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
HER
0 - 4
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
FCD
1 - 2
BVO
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
FCD
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
FCD
4 - 0
FCO
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
FCD
1 - 3
BOS
32%
24%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
FCD
2 - 1
APE
46%
25%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |