Heracles vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
FCO
1 - 2
HER
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
HEL
1 - 1
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2001 |
HFC
1 - 1
HER
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
HER
1 - 5
ZWO
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
FCE
1 - 5
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
ZWO
1 - 1
FCD
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
FCD
0 - 0
EIN
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
FCD
0 - 1
HEL
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
HFC
2 - 2
FCD
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
FCD
1 - 2
FCO
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |