Heracles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 1
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
SCH
38%
23%
38%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FEY
2 - 1
HER
65%
19%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
HER
3 - 4
WIL
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
ADO
3 - 1
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 1
WIL
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AJA
6 - 2
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |