Heracles vs Excelsior analysis

Heracles Excelsior
61 ELO 64
2.7% Tilt 4%
460º General ELO ranking 598º
14º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
51.9%
Heracles
25.1%
Draw
23%
Excelsior

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
Heracles
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23%
Win probability
Excelsior
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heracles
+9%
+12%
Excelsior

ELO progression

Heracles
Excelsior
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 1986
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
6 - 1
Heracles
HER
79%
13%
8%
63 73 10 0
25 Mar. 1986
HER
Heracles
0 - 0
Twente
TWE
47%
26%
28%
62 68 6 +1
23 Mar. 1986
BOS
Den Bosch
4 - 0
Heracles
HER
63%
21%
15%
63 74 11 -1
16 Mar. 1986
HER
Heracles
2 - 2
HFC Haarlem
HFC
47%
25%
28%
63 70 7 0
09 Mar. 1986
AJA
Ajax
7 - 0
Heracles
HER
94%
4%
2%
64 88 24 -1

Matches

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 1986
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 0
VVV Venlo
VVV
49%
26%
25%
63 67 4 0
25 Mar. 1986
GRO
Groningen
2 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
73%
16%
11%
64 74 10 -1
23 Mar. 1986
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 0
MVV Maastricht
MVV
56%
25%
19%
63 60 3 +1
16 Mar. 1986
EXC
Excelsior
3 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
61%
24%
16%
62 57 5 +1
09 Mar. 1986
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 1
PSV
PSV
15%
23%
63%
63 88 25 -1