Heracles vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
WIL
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FEY
2 - 1
HER
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HER
6 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ZWO
4 - 2
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
HBS
1 - 2
HER
16%
19%
65%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
FCE
3 - 0
JON
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCE
6 - 0
MVV
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 2
FCE
30%
24%
47%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
FCE
2 - 2
JON
58%
21%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 4
FCE
22%
22%
57%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |