Heracles vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
FCD
0 - 0
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 0
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
HER
2 - 1
TEL
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
FCO
4 - 0
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
HER
1 - 1
VVV
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
FCE
0 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
TEL
0 - 1
FCE
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
FCE
2 - 3
FCO
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
VVV
0 - 1
FCE
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
FCE
1 - 0
ADO
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |