Heracles vs Elinkwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
FEY
5 - 2
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1966 |
HER
0 - 0
GAE
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
HER
2 - 0
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
WIL
1 - 0
HER
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
ADO
2 - 2
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Elinkwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ELI
0 - 0
GAE
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1966 |
GRO
4 - 0
ELI
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
TEL
3 - 1
ELI
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
ELI
1 - 3
PSV
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
MVV
1 - 0
ELI
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |