Heracles vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
49%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
JVC
0 - 1
HER
15%
19%
66%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BER
2 - 1
VVO
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DRA
0 - 2
BER
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BER
0 - 3
FLE
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ORA
1 - 0
BER
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BER
2 - 0
BVV
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +2 |