Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
KON
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
GRA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GRO
3 - 1
HER
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
HOF
3 - 0
AZA
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
VVV
0 - 2
AZA
25%
23%
53%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GRO
3 - 0
AZA
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
AZA
0 - 0
GRO
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 0
AZA
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |