Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
STO
1 - 2
HER
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 19 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HER
0 - 1
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
BVO
1 - 0
AZA
12%
19%
70%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
AZA
18%
21%
61%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
AZA
17%
21%
63%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
EXC
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |