Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1998 |
HFC
3 - 2
HER
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
HER
1 - 4
ZWO
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1998 |
ADO
2 - 0
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
BVV
3 - 3
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
HER
1 - 2
BVO
31%
25%
45%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 0
BVV
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
BVO
2 - 2
AZA
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
AZA
0 - 0
HEL
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1998 |
FCO
0 - 2
AZA
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |